Research workbench
Out-of-sample backtests of the AltVal engine vs ground-truth quarterly revenue, walked forward at 30-day steps. Aggregate quality varies by sector — industrial / geospatial signals are the most predictive in this universe.
consumer
0.50
median R² · 8 cos
Median MAPE
13.3%
Avg lead
48d
saas
0.20
median R² · 10 cos
Median MAPE
20.1%
Avg lead
49d
industrial
0.56
median R² · 7 cos
Median MAPE
8.7%
Avg lead
47d
All companies — backtest leaderboard
| Company | Sector | N | R² | MAPE | Lead vs GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian Energy Storage | industrial | 19 | 0.797 | 4.4% | 45d |
| Freightpath Rail | industrial | 19 | 0.793 | 6.2% | 52d |
| Casa Rosa Restaurants | consumer | 19 | 0.672 | 7.6% | 46d |
| Nordic Outfitters | consumer | 19 | 0.659 | 9.2% | 50d |
| Canyon Mining & Metals | industrial | 19 | 0.635 | 9.9% | 48d |
| Northbound Manufacturing | industrial | 19 | 0.555 | 8.7% | 44d |
| Vineyard & Vine Co. | consumer | 19 | 0.549 | 13.3% | 52d |
| Meridian HRTech | saas | 19 | 0.536 | 12.8% | 49d |
| Lumi Curated | consumer | 19 | 0.501 | 13.2% | 47d |
| Luma Comms | saas | 19 | 0.433 | 7.1% | 48d |
| Fleet Foot Athletics | consumer | 19 | 0.425 | 15.1% | 48d |
| Ridgeplay Aerospace | industrial | 19 | 0.362 | 9.4% | 47d |
| Greystone DataOps | saas | 19 | 0.326 | 6.4% | 49d |
| Blackwood Legal AI | saas | 19 | 0.214 | 27.4% | 48d |
| Pineapple Health Tech | saas | 19 | 0.200 | 29.9% | 48d |
| PetPro Markets | consumer | 19 | 0.179 | 8.0% | 46d |
| Portstar Logistics | industrial | 19 | 0.043 | 6.6% | 48d |
| Northstar BillingOS | saas | 19 | 0.001 | 13.4% | 48d |
| Primrose Beauty Co. | consumer | 19 | -0.172 | 15.4% | 47d |
| Cobalt AI | saas | 19 | -0.345 | 25.4% | 49d |
| Raven Observability | saas | 19 | -0.369 | 25.1% | 51d |
| Atlas Identity Platform | saas | 19 | -0.404 | 7.3% | 49d |
| Verde Eats | consumer | 19 | -0.595 | 18.2% | 46d |
| Heliopolis Refining | industrial | 19 | -0.694 | 22.1% | 44d |
| Ironlock Cloud Sec | saas | 19 | -6.679 | 20.1% | 47d |