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Portstar Logistics

Container terminal ops.

Cost basis $410.0M · Owns 28% · Last GP mark 2026-03-03

Synthetic equity

synth

$2B

80% CI $2B–$2B

Δ vs GP mark

+20.9%

+$362M

Synth revenue (TTM)

synth

$1B

Anchor $1B · 13.7%

Multiple applied

1.50x

Anchor 1.41x

Confidence

89%

Method: industrial-geospatial

Synthetic mark vs reported

Equity value, $M — band shows 80% confidence

SyntheticGP marksGround truth (sim)

Drivers vs anchor

log-elasticity decomposition · click a segment to isolate

Net +$373.6M

Synthetic mark is $373.6M above the anchor, driven by Employee swipes (30d) (+58.5%) and Multiple momentum (+6.6%).

− $0.0M0+ $373.6M

Backtest vs ground truth

19 obs

R²

0.043

MAPE

6.6%

Lead vs GP

48d

Actual TTMEngine forecast

No alt-data anomalies in the last 30 days. Engine running clean.

Alt-data signals (trailing 12 months)

Inputs to the factor model

Employee swipes (30d)

21.5k

+4.1%

Talent / geo · 30d badge-in proxy

Facility utilization

0.67

-0.6%

Geospatial · derived utilisation 0–1

Geospatial activity

112.43

+0.3%

Geospatial · indexed activity at company sites

Port / facility visits (30d)

362.1

+2.3%

Geospatial · 30d trailing visit count